Wednesday 27 May 2020

AlphaMind Blog Episode: Steven Goldstein discusses his 'Golden Trading Guidelines'.

In this episode of the AlphaMind podcast co-host Steven Goldstein was interviewed by fellow host Mark Randall about his ‘Golden Trading Guidelines‘, a set of 15 trading principles and reminders that he developed and applied to himself as a Professional Trader.,

Steven and Mark discuss each of the guidelines one-by-one, exploring the importance and relevance of each to Steven as a Trader. Their open and frank discussion highlights and illuminates these guidelines, bringing in specific examples from Steven’s 25 year trading career and his time as a performance coach working with other traders.

The evolution of the ‘Golden Trading Guidelines‘. 

Steven worked for almost 25 years as a trader for  Investment Banks, Credit Suisse, Commerzbank and the banking arm of American Express, both in Market-Making and Proprietary Trading roles. In his battle to succeed, Steven was always looking to improve and find the secrets to success. As part of that journey, Steven developed his own set of guiding principles which were personal to him. These helped keep him on a productive path, or enabled him to return to that path when he veered too far from it.

Later in his career, Steven collated these principles and reminders into a list of 15 guidelines he called his 'Golden Trading Guidelines', using the term guidelines rather than rules, to emphasise their flexibility and guiding nature, rather than as fixed hard and fast rules.

This copy below is taken and reproduced from one of his trading journals from 2007. At the time he termed them his 'Golden Statements'.

A slightly updated typed version can be viewed here:

These guidelines helped Steven navigate the financial markets during his latter trading years. He viewed them as a set of reminders to keep him on the right path on his journey through the markets. They also helped him to get back on the path when he strayed, took a wrong turn or was lured away from it.

Steven's ‘Golden Trading Guidelines’ were personal to him, they were not rules but reminders of behaviours, mindsets attitudes or aspects of markets and risk, which were essential for him to consider and respect in his work as a trader.

The statements evolved and changed over the years and may look a little different if he was to write them again. 

We highly recommend traders and investors produce their own trading statements or guidelines personal to them. The legend Ray Dalio did this early in his career and it evolved into his guiding principles which underpinned his success.

Please feel free to use my guidelines, either in this form, or as the basis for your own version. The image below is the actual list I had at the front of my journal,

Steven's Golden Trading Guidelines.

Personal Guidelines


1) Fear and Respect the Market But Never Hate It: Hate clouds judgment and leads to bitterness and resentment. This will further undermine what is probably already a tough trading environment and will hinder a recovery.

2) Know Yourself: Know your strengths and weaknesses. Know your personal stress limits and comfort zone. Have aims and goals. – Try to maximise your strengths and eliminate your weaknesses. My major strength is my market analysis, my major weaknesses are my execution, my lack of patience, and my inability to hold a winning hand.

3) Suppression of Ego: Ego can turn winners to losers and leads to mistakes and judgment errors. Ego is not in itself a bad thing, it gives one desire, but it can also be a hindrance when too inflated or hurt. – No high fives/No boasting. Likewise, no ‘putting oneself down’, this reinforces negativity. – ‘Know what you know and know what you don’t. And no matter how good you think you are, remember to stay humble, for if you don’t, the market will do it for you.’ – Todd Harrison, Minyanville.

4) Stay Fit, Healthy and Balanced: This applies internally to one’s self: A healthy body will produce a healthy mind. – Also, externally; in relationships with family and friends. It is imperative to maintain healthy relationships. If conflicts are occurring, it is possibly a sign of one’s own tensions and stresses. – Additionally, it is necessary to take a break from the market at times. On these occasions flatten positions or keep positions small. Remember, if you fear missing a move, there will be plenty of opportunities. Moreover, it is important to give the mind a rest and a chance to refuel its batteries.

Planning Guidelines

5) Understand the market, its drivers and its idiosyncrasies: It is vital to understand the market one is trading in. Each market has different characteristics, liquidity, volatility, event risk and minor driving factors. It is essential to be aware of them. Do not get active in new markets, until familiar with them.

6) Preparation, Preparation, Preparation: Planning and preparation for trading cannot be overstressed enough. Too often money is lost on trading whims or poorly executed plans. Preparation includes being prepared for the unexpected, have a plan for all eventualities.

7) Essential Money Management: This is a vital part of planning. - The downside must be protected, if trades are successful the upside will take care of itself, but inevitably drawdown will occur from time to time. During these periods it is essential to protect the downside, one has to keep oneself in the game.

8) Speculate Do Not Gamble: The following line encapsulates this, it is taken from ‘Reminiscences of a Stock Operator’ - “It taught me little by little, the essential difference between betting on fluctuations and anticipating inevitable advances and declines, between gambling and speculating.”

9) Patience Is A Virtue: This has many applications: Do not trade for the sake of it. - Do not worry about missed opportunities, other opportunities always come along. – Wait for a market signal or a better Risk/Reward profile. – Do not anticipate breaks/stops. - Holding onto a winning position, or even maintaining a losing one. (A good poker player usually ‘stays the course’).

Trading 

10) Markets Are Volatile and Rarely Follow the Script to the Letter: Price action in many markets can appear to be almost random, particularly at the micro level where they rarely conform to predicted market behaviour. However, at the macro level, when trending and at crucial infection points, the larger moves can be predicted with a degree of probability. However short-term, volatility will always occur.

11) Do Not Be Afraid of Losses But Do Control Them: Losses are an essential part of trading, without losses there will be no profits. However, it is essential to control them. Furthermore, do not ever add to a loss in order to aggregate an entry (unless it is part of a plan).

12) Do Not Feel You Have to Trade: It is not always easy to do, but sometimes it pays to sit on one’s hands or reduce. In a way this is in itself a position. - The occasions when this is prudent are: When one does not have a clear view. - When the risk reward is poor. - Ahead of crucial inflection points. - When the position is likely to clash with an extended absence from the market.

13) Trade the Market Not Your P&L: This speaks for itself: Whenever one moves from a trading view to protecting P&L, decisions are going to be dictated by fear of losses rather than a market view. If the fear of a loss/drawdown is likely to be the driver then the position is probably too big, or the risk reward profile is probably wrong. This rule works on the upside too, when the P&L becomes the focus rather than the market view, often trade performance will suffer. This is a tough one to stick too, but all true.

14) Good Execution Is Vital: Good/poor execution can be the difference between success/failure on a trade. Execution does not mean purely getting in or out of a position, it also means lightning up and increasing. ‘Confirmation’ is absolutely vital with execution, one of my biggest failing is when I try and anticipate stops or breaks which do not occur, and when the market temporarily pops. Give the market time to confirm the move. *
*Additional note added later. – ‘Confirmation’ is one of the great paradoxes of trading. If you wait for confirmation, as the theory demands, then by the time you get it the opportunity is largely gone or the risk/reward is significantly diminished. If you anticipate it, it may never happen, and often doesn’t. – There is no easy answer to this dilemma. ‘This is the Art of Trading’.

15) There Are No Guarantees: Opportunities exist because of uncertainty. Price forecasts are at best estimates. Even the best forecasters make wrong calls, no one person has all information which effects price even the best forecasters make wrong calls no one has all the information which effects a price. Furthermore, new information and data are always occurring, these are liable to effect forecasts.


Episode Links
🎧‬Buzzsprout
🎧Main Link
🎧‬iTunes
🎧‬Spotify


The AlphaMind Podcast
The AlphaMind podcast is co-hosted by Steven Goldstein and Mark Randall, market veterans with over seven decades between them in the financial markets.

The podcast delvea into the lives and stories of extraordinary guests whose experiences provide a fresh and powerful lens through which to understand the mental, emotional, psychological and behavioural challenges people face when encountering risk and uncertainty in financial markets.

To find out more visit the podcast website

The AlphaMind Podcast is produced in partnership with 'The Society of Technical Analysts'. 






The AlphaMind Trader Performance Coaching Programme
The key to trading success is developing the human aspects of trading and investment performance. Managing your self and your relationship with risk and uncertainty lies at the epicentre of your trading performance. Understanding this, exploring how this impacts your behaviours and actions, and helping you develop and improve your risk processes is vital to help increase your odds of trading success.

Our powerful coaching programmes are delivered to risk professionals at many of the world's leading hedge funds, investment banks, commodity and energy trading firms, as well as private retail traders.

If you would like to know more about this powerful programme which has helped transform performance for traders and investment professionals across the world,  click here, email info@alpharcubed.com, or view the AlphaRCubed flip brochure here, or click the link on the advert below. 

The AlphaMind Project and Newsletter

The AlphaMind project is a collaboration between AlphaRCubed Ltd and the Mark Randall Consultancy. Its aim is to explore, understand, educate and inform about the key factors which lead to successful trading and investment performance at the Human level.

We will shortly be publishing a regular Newsletter. If you would like to add your name to the Newsletter subscription list, then just sign up at this Newsletter link.

Wednesday 13 May 2020

The AlphaMind Podcast: Paul Gordon – Explains and Discusses Bitcoin for the Crypto-Curious and the Crypto-Sceptical.



In this episode Alphamind Coinscrum founder Paul Gordon – Explains and Discusses Bitcoin for the Crypto-Curious and the Crypto-Sceptical.

Bitcoin, and the world of cryptos, divides opinion. At one end of the scale are the cynics and sceptics, at the other end are those fascinated and fully invested in all things crypto. In between comes everyone else by varying degrees.

The needle is however moving on this scale: Some cynics are becoming less cynical and more curious, and some of the more curious are starting to dabble in crypto as an investable asset class and a tradable instrument.

In the past week, Paul Tudor-Jones announced that he has a small proportion of his private assets invested in Bitcoin, whilst Renaissance Technologies, the world’s most successful hedge, has started exploring the possibility of playing in Bitcoin futures.

There is a lot of speculation around the Bitcoin ‘halving’ event, which takes place this week (which is explained in this week's podcast), and articles about Bitcoin ‘Stock to Flow’ have recently grabbed a lot of attention. 


Bitcoin itself, has recently rebounded well in price after some extreme volatility at the start of the Covid-19 crisis, though volatility in price action remains elevated.

Considering this, the AlphaMind podcast had its first venture into the world of Bitcoin. We talked with Paul Gordon, who for almost 2 decades was a conventional futures trader and broker, working for major investment banks such as HSBC. Paul become interested in Bitcoin shortly after its creation and well ahead of it starting to gain prominence and more widespread interest. 

In 2012 Paul founded Coinscrum, the world's first and still the largest and most active bitcoin/blockchain networking group. 
Soon afterwards, he left the world of futures trading behind to become involved in the world of Bitcoin and Crypto, as an investor, advisor, consultant, and advocate. 

In This Episode: 


Paul tells us about the rise of cryptocurrencies, how they derive value, some of the challenges they faces in gaining wider acceptance and credibility, and where they are on the journey to become more accepted as investable assets and tradable currencies.

Paul also provided an ‘Idiots Guide to Halving', why it happens, and what some of the implications of this maybe. 

He also discusses some of the fundamental factors behind Bitcoin and why ‘Stock to Flow’ is of interest to Bitcoin followers.

Finally, Paul shared some of his own long-term technical analysis on the Bitcoin price and where it may be heading in future months. An article which he refers to in the episode which contains his original analysis he produced using a long-term Elliott Wave count can be viewed here. As he explains in this episode, he stands by this as a favoured future path, though he has adjusted his projection levels since this article was written and further price action has unfolded.

This interview has something for the cynical, the curious and everyone in between. Paul shares his knowledge and opinion in ways which will illuminate your understanding of cryptocurrencies in ways few others can.

Disclaimer: Paul’s analysis and opinions, and those of us at the AlphaMind podcast, do not constitute investment or trading advice and are not to be taken as investment or trading advice.

Episode Links
🎧Main Link
🎧‬iTunes
🎧‬Spotify
🎧‬Buzzsprout

For those interested in knowing and learning more about Paul and his work you can visit his Linkedin page. There you will be able to access many publications and articles mentioned in this podcast.

You can also visit Coinscrum where you can access their new weekly Crypto Markets Insights & Analysis Show, and other great content. 

The AlphaMind Podcast
The AlphaMind podcast is co-hosted by Steven Goldstein and Mark Randall, market veterans with over seven decades between them in the financial markets.

The podcast holds fascinating conversations with people from the world of financial markets.

In the interviews they delve into the lives and stories of extraordinary guests whose experiences provide a fresh and powerful lens through which to understand the mental, emotional, psychological and behavioural challenges people face when encountering risk and uncertainty in financial markets.

Guests come from a range of backgrounds, including experienced and veteran traders and investment professionals, analysts, psychologists, coaches, authors and experts in fields related to trading, financial markets and risk.

Through these powerful, informative and insightful conversations, they seek to help people develop, cultivate and grow optimal mindsets for better performance and more effective and productive behaviour when engaged in risk taking activities.

To find out more visit the podcast website

The AlphaMind Trader Performance Coaching Programme
The answer to outstanding trader performance, doesn't lie outside of us in systems, data or technology, but within your mental state and behavioural aspects. Our powerful coaching programmes are delivered to risk professionals at many of the leading hedge funds, investment banks and commodity trading firms. If you would like to know more, click here, email info@alpharcubed.com, or view the AlphaRCubed flip brochure here.

The AlphaMind Project
The AlphaMind project is a collaboration between AlphaRCubed Ltd and the Mark Randall Consultancy

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