Tuesday 9 November 2010

SPAIN IRELAND V SP500

I will keep this short and sweet today... Spain Credit Default Swaps are soaring, as have Irish CDSs been. In recent weeks Greece and Portuguese CDS have soared. The SP500 has shaken these off so far bolstered by QE, it may continue to do that, but I can't help thinking that a lot of good news is now priced in, whilst new global concerns may start to weigh, particularly as Spain is a much bigger fish than either of the other three. The charts below shows Spain and Irish CDS versus the SP500 over the past year, I have highlighted previous periods where CDS prices started to soar and how the SP500 reacted at the time.

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