Showing posts with label Trading and Risk Psychology. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trading and Risk Psychology. Show all posts

Wednesday, 13 May 2015

‘The Chimp Paradox’ and 'Success in Financial Markets'.

The Chimp Paradox, written by Steve Peters a leading UK sports psychologist, is based on  simple metaphor which describes the interplay between the emotional and rational functions of our brains.

The ‘Chimp Paradox’ metaphor describes the brain as working in two modes, the chimp and the human mode. The chimp is the area of the brain driven by feeling, impressions, emotional thinking and gut instincts. The chimp makes snap judgments, thinks in black and white, and is capable of being paranoid, irrational and emotive. Its primary motivator is survival. On the other hand, the human part of the brain is rational, evidence-based, thinks in shades of grey, and operates on balanced judgement. It is driven by having a greater purpose in life rather than the pure survival instincts of the chimp. There is a third aspect to the metaphor, the computer within our brain. This computer, which had an empty hard drive at birth, is only as good as the information it contains and is limited by its operating system and hardware. The computer contains stored beliefs, some of which are positive, some negative, some deeply hard-wired and tough to change, and others easier to re-programme. Our personalities are formed by a combination of the chimp, the human and the computer: Together they dictate how we act and behave.

The assumption at first glance might be that we want to be in human mode at all times. However life is not that simple, we cannot simply ignore or turn off our 'inner chimp'. This inner chimp is part of our nature, and as in real life, the chimp is far stronger than the human and has far more stamina. A chimp has 5 times the strength of the average human, so don’t even think of challenging him to strength contest. Furthermore, the human requires a lot more energy to function than the chimp. Thus when tired, fatigued, and depleted, the human brain is more likely to turn off and we automatically switch to chimp mode. In reality we function by being in a constant interplay between the two, rather like a hybrid car switching between battery and oil/gasoline. However, as mentioned, there will be times when our inner chimp, far stronger than our inner human, will be in control. When this happens, the chimp can run riot, and the consequnces can be hugely destructive. I am sure everyone can think of times when they have functioned in this way, letting their inner chimp run wild. However understanding your inner chimp, and keeping him calm, can help bring the chimp, to a degree, under control. And in some cases you can make the chimp your ally. When you are under attack you want your chimp to be fighting your corner. And therein lies the paradox, there is a time and a place for everyone’s inner chimp to prove both useful and necessary.

It is on the back of this metaphor that one can draw upon the success of outstanding performers in many fields, including trading. Master performers learn to tame their inner chimp and work with it in practical ways to harness its enormous power’s of impulsivity and emotional strength. When combining the power of the chimp, and the logic and resourcefullness of the human, and using the computer as a more productive and reliable reference source, great things can be achieved.

How does this play out in the financial markets, where belief in the superiority of rationality and logic reign supreme?

We have been carrying out some fascinating research into the proclivities and behaviours of successful risk-takers. Our work is based around a number of banks and hedge funds where we coach traders and portfolio managers. The research is on-going and still its in early days, however we are seeing some clear trends emerging which may surprise some people’s expectations of traits and characteristics needed for success in financial markets. (We recently presented our initial work on trader personality as part of a webinar which can be seen here).

One of the aspects of our personality research we are seeing is a close correlation between success in volatile markets, and a tendency to favour emotional cues over rationality and logic, particularly when one is trading shorter-term time-frames. Perhaps this is not overly surprising when one links this to the ‘Chimp Paradox’. In fast volatile markets, the ability to make money relies as much on an on ability to react fast to new news and seemingly irrational price action, as it does on an ability to read markets and having a strategy for trading the markets. Allying the human rational perspectives; a definitive trading plan with strict money management, with the chimps extraordinary sensing and intuitives abilities, enables individuals with these skills to thrive in short-term fast markets. However, allow that chimp to run wild, and all the good work will be undone. Our recent interview with Brady Dahl, author of Momo Traders, revealed how these masters of fast markets are able to survive and thrive. The traders featured in Momo Traders mastered the art of allying their inner chimp with their inner human.

There will however be days where where extreme volatility reigns and fear stalks the markets. On these days the markets are full of agitated chimps, each reacting to threats, and making seemingly irrational decisions. January 2016 saw virtually a whole month of these days. So well done to all those who came through January on top. 

To know more about the chimp paradox, Steve Peters provides an excellent Ted talk on his 'Chimp Paradox' which can be seen below.



The 'Behavioural Trading' blog is presented and managed by leading Trading Performance and Behavioural Trading Coach Steven Goldstein. Steven is Managing Director at Alpha R Cubed, which works with banks, hedge funds and investment firms to help them improve their people's capabilities  within their frontline financial risk businesses. To know more about Alpha R Cubed, visit their website www.alpharcubed.com or email Steven at steven.goldstein@alpharcubed.com.

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Tuesday, 10 January 2012

Change of Title Once again.

This blog is going through yet another change of title. 'Mindset of a Trader' has now gone the way of 'Hometrader UK'.

I have chosen the new title to match my Linked in Group which has grown and developed rapidly over recent months. - The Group 'Trader, Trading & Risk Psychology' attracted over 1100 new members in the 6 months to the end of last year.  - Please fill free to join the group. -  The link is http://www.linkedin.com/groups/Trader-Trading-Risk-Psychology-3863963?gid=3863963&trk=hb_side_g

The aim of the group is to be a forum for thoughts, reflections, opinions, views, and discussions on matters related to trader/investor and risk psychology, behaviour and philosophy.

This includes:
•    Trader & Market Psychology.
•    Trader Performance & Development.
•    Behavioural Finance related to Trading.
•    The Psychology of Risk.
•    The Psychology behind Technical Analysis.
•    The Philosophical aspects of risk and trading.

Any other subject within the context of trading psychology.

I do ask group members to refrain from posting direct promotional material to the group discussions, instead please post these to promotions. Please however feel free to use membership of the group to benefit your business or field of interests in other ways:

• It could provide an opportunity to pose a question and receive feedback and opinions from experts and peers.
• Find networking opportunities with peers and cohorts from your business, profession, or field of academia.
• Share your ideas and knowledge on appropriate subjects with like-minded people.
• Discover new leads and information which could be of benefit to your business, job, or academic research.
I do also ask members to keep discussions within the broad context of Trader, Trading & Risk Psychology.

I encourage members to share ideas, post questions, raise discussions and so forth in accordance with the aims of the group.

As owner of this group I would like to maintain the integrity of the group to achieve the above aims. Thus I will endeavor to keep the group clean and free of spam, inappropriate posting, or postings not in accordance with the aim of the group.

If anyone feels a question or issue raised is left unanswered, please feel free to send me a message, and I will what I can to provide an answer or solicit responses from the group.

Warm regards

Steven Goldstein

Please also note there is also a 'Trader, Trading & Risk Psychology' website, which I am building up to become a compendium of knowledge and information on trader psychology. - This is still in the early stages of development, however feel free to check it out at http://www.mindsetofatrader.com/ (At some point soon the address will change to reflect the correct name. )

Thursday, 30 June 2011

Emotional Intelligence v Intellectual Intelligence in trading.

What is more important for success as a trader - A high level of Intellectual Intelligence, or a high level of Emotional Intelligence?

Warren Buffett once said; "Success in investing doesn't correlate with I.Q. once you're above the level of 125. Once you have ordinary intelligence, what you need is the temperament to control the urges that get other people into trouble in investing".

On my linkedin group (Trader, Trading & Risk Psychology) a very interesting debate has been raging about which sort of intelligence is most useful when trading. The responses have been extremely interesting and illuminating. 

Very briefly emotional intelligence can be defined as an ability, skill or a self-perceived ability to identify, assess, and control the emotions of oneself, of others, and of groups. 

Broadly speaking intellectual intelligence can be defined an academic or cognitive intelligence. Resing and Drenth (2007) use the following definition: "The whole of cognitive or intellectual abilities required to obtain knowledge, and to use that knowledge in a good way to solve problems that have a well described goal and structure."

To follow the discussion or participate, click this link.

You can join the LinkedIn group 'Trader, Trading & Risk Psychology' by clicking here and hitting 'Join Group' 

AlphaMind podcast #107 A US Navy Seal Commander, A Mindfulness Expert, and Self-Compassion

In the brutal world of trading and markets, we can often turn in on ourselves, and end up becoming our biggest problem. The ability to stay ...