Wednesday 13 October 2010

Equities - the path of least resistance appears to be up.

For now at least the path of least resistance for equities appears to be up. Whatever the reason or rationale, buyers are currently in control, and until this changes, it would be safest to assume there are further highs ahead. The consolidation of recent weeks appears to have finally ended,and it would appear we are now making a thrust away from this, indeed this move appears to be occurring across a number of markets, which adds credence to the idea of further gains ahead. The charts below echo this point, the first set of charts show a selection of US equity indices, the second set of charts show the DAX index and Eurostoxx Index futures this morning.


The next chart shows the VIX index, this appears to have made a break below a large Descending Triangle over the past few months, this drop in volatility below support should be a favourable development for equities.

The last chart is the old laggard, the KBW Bank Index, this still lags the rest of the market, however interestingly it is very close to completing an inverse Head + Shoulders continuation pattern, a clear break up through 48.00 (it closed marginally through here last night) would suggest this may finally start to join the Bullish party. 


 

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