Friday 12 November 2010

The PIIGS and Risk aversion - The sequal.

Concerns over European Sov Debt continue to rattle these markets. Irish 10 year yields are pushing close to 9%, to put some perspective on that just two weeks ago they were below 7%. The Irish contagion has spilled over to other PIIGS as CDS prices have risen strongly for Portugese, Spanish and Italian govt bonds. Meanwhile traditional safe-haven currencies USD, Yen and Swissy are outperforming the Euro and the risk orientated currencies such as the AUD. - Stocks have been wavering through the week, however overnight futures markets have seen heavy losses, and the risks are growing of a much deeper setback. The chart below is the SP500 e-mini futures over the past year. I have highlighted strong similarities between the period Dec 2009 to May 2010, and the period over past few months, the likeness is almost uncanny. - If history were to repeat itself here, (or more to the point rhyme), then things could start to get very ugly. The runaway train which was the SP500 last week may now be getting ready to come of the rails.


Something for the weekend:
Here in Britain, these rain-swept islands perched off of the North-West coast of Europe, we have generally been deemed largely irrelevant in the great race into space. The first country to send anything successfully into space were Germany, unfortunately for us in the UK, we were the intended target, with most of Germany's V2 rockets falling back from space and on to London. Since then the US, Russia and China have all managed to send people into space, plus the odd dog and monkey. We did try sending a probe to Mars a few years back, but we don't think it ever actually got there. -  Finally however, I am very proud to report that Britain finally has a space first, something which has been achieved at a mere fraction of the cost of the many Billion Dollar programmes achieved by other nations. Britain has become the first nation to put a paper plane into space. The story can be seen by hitting this link.  -- So lets hear it for British genius, ingenuity and inventiveness, and from now on, whenever you think of nations pertinent to space exploration, please remember to include Britain very firmly on that list. 

Have a great weekend .........

3 comments:

  1. Nice work you show, do not you think that S & P must first return to 1172 and that there is a decision, see chart ine.

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