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Tuesday 8 June 2010
Spain v Germany - Evening Star pattern on Hourly
Something to keep an eye on. The deterioration in Euro sovereign debt over the past week has been a stronger driver of the risk-off trade of the past few days, with the main focus being the spread between Germany and Spain. However the above hourly chart shows an evening star pattern formed during the past few hours. It is a signal suggesting the first sign a possible pause/correction in this uptrend, and should be watched for any follow through. Note, at this stage the trend remains higher, however a close through the rising trendline, and a lower close than yesterday could change this.
I would also like to note that some of the other usual 'Risk-off' signals, have been fairly relaxed during the most recent sell-off. USDJPY has remained fairly stable, Gold & Silver remain 'bid to old boots', and Libors appear very relaxed. I am questioning whether the 'Risk-off' trade may be due for another pause.
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